Expected Games for National Draft Pick 1

Expected Games (XG) Calculation:

We look at the history of all players taken at or around pick 1.
If you were to pick randomly from this group, you'd get something around the median of their future games (226.0).
We take that as the Expected Games (XG) of a player in this group.

Compare with XG for Other Picks
Year Number Player Future Games
2001 1 Luke Hodge 346
2000 1 Nick Riewoldt 336
2002 1 Brendon Goddard 334
2005 1 Marc Murphy 300
2004 1 Brett Deledio 275
1994 1 Jeff White 268
2006 1 Bryce Gibbs 268
2003 1 Adam Cooney 250
1993 1 Darren Gaspar 228
Median 2010 1 David Swallow 226
1999 1 Josh Fraser 218
1997 1 Travis Johnstone 209
2007 1 Matthew Kreuzer 189
2009 1 Tom Scully 187
1996 1 Michael Gardiner 181
2008 1 Jack Watts 174
1998 1 Des Headland 166
1995 1 Clive Waterhouse 106
2011 1 Jonathon Patton 95