Draftguru
Draftguru

Expected Games for National Draft Pick 1

Expected Games (XG) Calculation:
We look at the history of all players taken who were still on a list after age .
If you were to pick randomly from this group, you'd get something around the median of their future games (218.0).
We take that as the Expected Games (XG) of a player in this group.

Compare with XG for Other Picks
Year Number Player Future Games
2001 1 Luke Hodge 346
2000 1 Nick Riewoldt 336
2002 1 Brendon Goddard 334
2005 1 Marc Murphy 300
2004 1 Brett Deledio 275
1994 1 Jeff White 268
2006 1 Bryce Gibbs 268
2012 1 Lachie Whitfield 257
2003 1 Adam Cooney 250
2010 1 David Swallow 249
1993 1 Darren Gaspar 228
Median 1999 1 Josh Fraser 218
1997 1 Travis Johnstone 209
2015 1 Jacob Weitering 204
2007 1 Matthew Kreuzer 189
2009 1 Tom Scully 187
1996 1 Michael Gardiner 181
2008 1 Jack Watts 174
1998 1 Des Headland 166
1995 1 Clive Waterhouse 106
2011 1 Jonathon Patton 95
2014 1 Paddy McCartin 63
2013 1 Tom Boyd 61