Draftguru
Draftguru

Expected Games for Each National Draft Pick

Expected Games (XG) is a metric we use to estimate the value of trades.
Pick Number Expected Games
1 218
2 191
3 171
4 142
5 125
6 125
7 123
8 120
9 114
10 100
11 92
12 84
13 79
14 80
15 75
16 70
17 70
18 68
19 69
20 69
21 68
22 66
23 61
24 59
25 56
26 48
27 54
28 49
29 46
30 47
31 44
32 40
33 42
34 39
35 38
36 35
37 39
38 35
39 31
40 30
41 26
42 23
43 24
44 23
45 22
46 21
47 18
48 19
49 16
50 17
51 16
52 15
53 15
54 16
55 14
56 14
57 14
58 14
59 14
60 11
61 13
62 11
63 12
64 13
65 12
66 11
67 13
68 14
69 10
70 5
71 5
72 5
73 5
74 6
75 5
76 5
77 5
78 5
79 4
80 2
81 2
82 8
83 8
84 4
85 9
86 0
87 0