Expected Games for National Draft Pick 3

Expected Games (XG) Calculation:

We look at the history of all players taken at or around pick 3.
If you were to pick randomly from this group, you'd get something around the median of their future games (179.0).
We take that as the Expected Games (XG) of a player in this group.

Compare with XG for Other Picks
Year Number Player Future Games
2005 5 Scott Pendlebury 390
2004 5 Lance Franklin 354
2006 5 Travis Boak 353
1999 4 Matthew Pavlich 353
2002 5 Jarrad McVeigh 325
2007 2 Trent Cotchin 306
1997 5 Luke Power 302
1994 3 Shannon Grant 301
2009 3 Dustin Martin 294
2005 4 Josh Kennedy 293
2004 2 Jarryd Roughead 283
2001 3 Chris Judd 279
1993 2 Nigel Lappin 279
2010 4 Andrew Gaff 276
1994 4 Scott Lucas 270
2005 2 Dale Thomas 258
2002 2 Daniel Wells 258
2004 3 Ryan Griffen 257
1999 5 Leigh Brown 246
1997 2 Brad Ottens 245
1994 2 Anthony Rocca 242
2009 5 Ben Cunnington 238
2001 2 Luke Ball 223
1997 3 Trent Croad 222
1994 5 Joel Smith 221
2000 3 Alan Didak 218
2008 3 Stephen Hill 218
2007 3 Chris Masten 215
2008 2 Nic Naitanui 213
2011 4 Will Hoskin-Elliott 210
2003 4 Farren Ray 209
1999 2 Paul Hasleby 208
2011 2 Stephen Coniglio 207
2003 2 Andrew Walker 202
2000 2 Justin Koschitzke 200
2008 5 Michael Hurley 194
2008 4 Hamish Hartlett 193
1993 3 Justin Murphy 185
Median 179.0
2002 3 Jared Brennan 173
1996 2 Chris Heffernan 170
1998 3 Nic Fosdike 164
2003 3 Colin Sylvia 163
2003 5 Brock McLean 157
1995 2 Matthew Primus 157
2010 3 Sam Day 151
2006 3 Lachlan Hansen 151
2010 5 Jared Polec 148
1999 3 Aaron Fiora 140
1998 2 Justin Longmuir 139
2006 4 Matthew Leuenberger 137
1993 5 Adam Heuskes 125
1997 4 Mark Bolton 124
2004 4 Richard Tambling 124
2005 3 Xavier Ellis 120
2011 3 Dom Tyson 113
2001 4 Graham Polak 111
2001 5 Xavier Clarke 106
2007 5 Jarrad Grant 95
1996 3 Rory Hilton 91
2009 2 Jack Trengove 89
2010 2 Harley Bennell 88
2007 4 Cale Morton 76
1995 3 Brendon Fewster 70
2011 5 Matt Buntine 67
1995 5 Brendan Krummel 64
1998 5 Michael Stevens 61
1995 4 Scott Bamford 59
2000 4 Luke Livingston 46
2000 5 Andrew McDougall 43
2006 2 Scott Gumbleton 35
2009 4 Anthony Morabito 26
1998 4 Ryan Fitzgerald 18
1996 4 Mark Kinnear 6
1996 5 Daniel McAlister 6
1993 4 Glenn Gorman 2
2002 4 Tim Walsh 1