Expected Games for a Player Taken Picks 51 or Later from Age 21

Expected Games for a Player Taken Picks 51 or Later from Age 21

Expected Games (XG) Calculation:

We look at the history of all players taken Picks 51 or Later who were still on a list after age 21.
If you were to pick randomly from this group, you'd get something around the median of their future games (21.5).
We take that as the Expected Games (XG) of a player in this group.

Compare with XG for Other Groups

	Player	Future Games
	Justin Westhoff	280
	Ryan O'Keefe	268
	Robbie Gray	256
	Chris Newman	255
	Brian Lake	250
	Dane Swan	242
	Daniel Cross	239
	Cameron Bruce	234
	Sam Fisher	228
	Taylor Walker	228
	Lachie Neale	223
	Andrew Thompson	221
	Michael Rischitelli	221
	Cale Hooker	217
	Andrew Embley	213
	Michael Walters	211
	Cameron Mooney	210
	Nick Malceski	210
	Russell Robertson	209
	Ben Johnson	205
	Ryan Hargrave	203
	Byron Pickett	203
	Graham Johncock	202
	Michael Braun	201
	Mathew Stokes	200
	Paul Puopolo	196
	Daniel Bradshaw	196
	Ryan Crowley	196
	Ben Dixon	192
	Adam Schneider	192
	Taylor Duryea	192
	Tom McDonald	188
	Jarryd Lyons	188
	Adam Selwood	182
	Nathan Thompson	177
	Lindsay Thomas	177
	Andrew Kellaway	172
	Paul Medhurst	168
	Brad Scott	168
	Ben Hudson	168
	Aaron Hamill	167
	Jed Bews	166
	Jarrod Witts	165
	Matthew Carr	162
	Clint Bizzell	159
	Alex Sexton	156
	Robert Shirley	149
	Tyson Goldsack	148
	Ryan Houlihan	147
	James Gwilt	147
	Nathan Brown	146
	Richard Vandenberg	145
	Shane Savage	145
	Corey Jones	145
	Andrew Schauble	142
	Stephen Powell	142
	Lincoln McCarthy	142
	Jade Rawlings	140
	Troy Makepeace	139
	Neville Jetta	138
	Brad Miller	137
	Daniel Jackson	135
	Josh Hill	131
	Amon Buchanan	128
	Jesse White	125
	Rayden Tallis	125
	Justin Blumfield	123
	Josh Thomas	123
	Craig Bird	121
	Paul Seedsman	121
	Matthew Dent	118
	Ken McGregor	117
	Tory Dickson	114
	Cameron Sutcliffe	109
	Anthony Franchina	103
	Kris Barlow	102
	Andrew Raines	100
	Ray Hall	98
	Chris Knights	90
	Josh Mahoney	89
	Scott Thornton	87
	Beau McDonald	85
	Simon Taylor	85
	Steven McKee	77
	Chad Rintoul	76
	Mark Orchard	74
	Patrick Bowden	73
	Kyle Cheney	73
	Nathan Lonie	71
	Rohan Bail	71
	Cameron O'Shea	70
	Brad Fisher	68
	Craig Biddiscombe	66
	Ian Prendergast	65
	Shannon Motlop	64
	Troy Schwarze	64
	Phillip Read	64
	Jonathan Giles	63
	Ben Sinclair	59
	Clint Bartram	59
	Matthew Egan	59
	Robert Powell	58
	Damon White	55
	Peter Berbakov	52
	Clay Sampson	51
	Adrian Cox	50
	Wayde Skipper	48
	Hayden Skipworth	48
	Cam Ellis-Yolmen	48
	Ryan Ferguson	47
	Matthew Lokan	46
	Chris Bryan	46
	Adrian Deluca	46
	Ty Zantuck	45
	Bradd Dalziell	43
	Nick Duigan	43
	Dion Woods	41
	Simon Buckley	41
	Simon Arnott	41
	Dylan Buckley	40
	Marcus Bullen	40
	Ian Downsborough	39
	Ben Kinnear	38
	Andrew Collins	36
	Tony Armstrong	35
	Brett Knowles	33
	Daniel Lowther	31
	Tim Boyle	31
	Trent Dennis-Lane	29
	Jacob Brennan	28
	Andrew Eccles	28
	Brady Anderson	27
	Ross Funcke	25
	Angus Dewar	25
	Darren O'Brien	24
	Sam Sheldon	24
	Ben Nason	23
	Adam Lange	23
	Simon Hogan	22
	Matthew McCarthy	22
Median		21.5
	Daniel Connors	21
	Karl Norman	20
	Nick Stone	20
	Ben Warren	20
	Tom Young	19
	Aaron Cornelius	19
	Andrew Shipp	19
	Ricky Mott	19
	Brad Moran	19
	Sedat Sir	18
	Andrew Merrington	18
	Steven Pitt	18
	Jordan Doering	18
	Carl Peterson	17
	Tom Lee	17
	Jarrad Redden	16
	Jeromey Webberley	16
	Stephen Tiller	16
	Luke Norman	16
	Orren Stephenson	15
	Tom Derickx	15
	Sam Cranage	15
	Simon Feast	14
	Danny Stevens	14
	Marcus Picken	14
	Paul Dooley	14
	Garry Moss	13
	Josh Cowan	13
	David Loats	12
	Campbell Heath	12
	Arryn Siposs	12
	Josh Smith	11
	Brad Lloyd	11
	Andrew Browne	11
	Bill Nicholls	10
	Nathan Saunders	10
	Ricky O'Loughlin	9
	Derek Murray	9
	Nick O'Brien	9
	Andrew McInnes	9
	Callan Beasy	9
	Tom Downie	8
	Tristen Walker	8
	Joe Anderson	8
	Bryce Campbell	8
	Kristin Thornton	8
	Jarrad Sundqvist	8
	Brent Hartigan	8
	Zephaniah Skinner	8
	Jaxson Barham	7
	Jeff Bruce	7
	Matt Austin	7
	Corey Gault	6
	Brent LeCras	6
	Brad Fuller	6
	Nathan Blee	6
	Matthew Shir	6
	Andrew Mills	6
	Jacob Schuback	6
	Matt Arnot	5
	Christin Macri	5
	Marc Dragicevic	5
	Justin Cicolella	5
	Jordan Schroder	4
	Tony Bourke	4
	Jesse O'Brien	4
	Lindsay Smith	4
	Mark Bradly	4
	Lionel Proctor	4
	Damien Lock	4
	Robert Forster-Knight	4
	Peter Faulks	3
	Ryan Brabazon	3
	Brett Backwell	3
	Rhys O'Keeffe	3
	Alistair Smith	3
	Tom Ledger	2
	Neil Marshall	2
	Sam McFarlane	2
	Ben Bucovaz	2
	Alex Johnson	2
	Julian Rowe	2
	Alex Woodward	2
	Kane Fraser	2
	Dwayne Simpson	2
	Matthew Watson	1
	Ben Thompson	1
	Steven Brosnan	1
	Cameron Delaney	1
	Will Johnson	1
	Luke Lowden	1
	Tom McNamara	1
	Josh Mellington	1
	Tim Hazell	0
	Adam Ugrinic	0
	Jordan Jones	0
	Tim Van Der Klooster	0
	Cameron Hunter	0
	Dale Baynes	0
	Linden Stevens	0
	Ashley Fernee	0
	Dion Miles	0
	Bradley Smith	0
	Clint Kirey	0
	Bart McCulloch	0
	Justin Wood	0
	Clayton Lasscock	0
	James Craig	0
	Jacob Anstey	0
	Jackson Allen	0
	Tom Hill	0
	Tim Ruffles	0
	Matthew Davis	0
	Adam Hay	0
	Bryce Retzlaff	0
	Rohan Kerr	0
	Christian Woodley	0
	Tyson Slattery	0
	Jarryd Allen	0
	Matthew Laidlaw	0
	Paul Greenham	0
	Troy Polak	0
	Daniel Donati	0
	Benet Copping	0
	Brock O'Brien	0
	Malcolm Lynch	0
	Steven Rode	0
	Shane Thorne	0
	Scott Taylor	0
	Paul Cahill	0
	Matthew Greig	0
	Troy Kirwen	0
	Ryan Smith	0
	Ben Mabon	0
	Michael Ross	0
	Luke Davis	0
	Adam Mathews	0
	Murray Pitts	0
	Will Young	0
	Matt Tyler	0